Blog Day 123 - Thursday 05 November 2020

Well, it looks like Sleepy Joe has won the US presidential elections although at the time of writing he has only 264 electoral college votes and needs 270, but with Nevada's 6 votes he should do it.  Lets hope that he can make the distance.  If he serves the usual two terms as president he will be 86 years old at the end of his second term.  Can anybody think of an 86 year old that they want leading their country? He would also have his finger on "the button", if he can find it.

But likewise Trump aint no spring chicken and if he runs again in 2024 would be a similar age.

I just did a very silly thing.  I got half way on my walk, walking down busy Centre Rd and I realised that I didn't have my mask on, I was mortified.  I quickly darted down a side street and headed for home, luckily I had my hat on and kept my head down which made crossing East Boundary Rd a bit difficult and probably dangerous.  Anyway I got home without being shouted at, booked or run over.

If nothing else the US elections has been a welcome distraction from the havoc being created around the world by the corona virus.  Although the virus situation appears to be under control in Victoria and Australia wide, world wide it is a completely different situation.

In Victoria we had another double zero day, with no new infections or deaths reported.  That makes 6 days in Victoria without a new infection and 9 days without a virus related death.  NSW reported the only new infections nationwide in the last 24 hours, both being quarantined overseas travellers.  Victoria currently has 30 active cases and NSW 40.  There are 20 Australians in hospital due to the corona virus with, 2 in hospital in Victoria, 5 in NSW and 8 in Qld.  However, remember that NSW and Qld have been receiving overseas travellers and Victoria hasn't.

Victoria's rolling 14 day average;

04/11: Metro 1.7, Regional .0, Total 1.7

05/11: Metro 1.4, Regional .0, Total 1.4

Worldwide the figures continue to be disastrous with 581,000 new infections in the last 24 hours bringing the total new infections worldwide to 48,000,000.  There were 10,000 new deaths recorded worldwide in the last 24 hours which I think is the highest 24 hour death figure of the pandemic.  The total number of deaths to date is now over 1,230,000.

In the last week there were 3,669,000 new infections compared to 3,278,000 the week before and 52,000 new deaths compared to 43,000 the week before.  As we can see the weekly figures are continuing to increase and given the ongoing increase in infection figures the death numbers are destined to keep increasing as well.

In the last week Brazil with 121,000 (169,000) new infections, Mexico 37,000 (41,000) new infections and India 325,000 (334,000) new infections all recorded reductions from the previous week (in brackets).  These three countries also recorded reductions in the number of new deaths for the week; Brazil 2,700 (3,009), Mexico 2,800 (2,900) and India 3,800 (3,900).  The reductions in both new infections and deaths for these three countries may not be large but at least they are not going up.

The other country in this group is the USA and unfortunately their weekly new infections and deaths continue to increase.  The USA reported 678,000 (534,000) new infections for the week and 6,700 (5,700) new deaths.  These are significant increases over previous weeks.

The real corona virus related dramas are happening in Europe.  The UK reported 157,000 (153,000) new infections; Spain 162,000 (148,000); Italy 201,000 (140,000) and France 308,000 (277,711), new infections for the week.  The UK reported 2,100 (1,500) new deaths; Spain 2,700 (1,100); Italy 1,900 (1,100) and France 2,889 (1,737) new deaths for the week.  As these infection rates continue to rise we can expect to see a continued increase in the death numbers.

Even plucky little Belgium is back in the news with 106,000 new infections and 1,100 new deaths for the week.  This has taken Belgium's death rate per million population to over 1,000 at 1,054 deaths per million of population to be precise.

Hopefully as the effects of the new lockdowns take effect in the European countries we will see a reduction in the infection rates and a subsequent drop in the death rates

The USA, Brazil, Mexico and India represented 31% of the worldwide new infections for the week, down from 33% the week before and 31% of the new deaths, down from 36% the week before.

The UK, Spain, Italy and France represented 23% of the worldwide new infections for the week, up from 22% the before and 18% of the new deaths up from the 13% the week before.  

Keeping in mind the figures above, the USA, Brazil, Mexico and India comprise approximately 25% of the world's population and the UK, Spain, Italy and France comprise 3% of the world's population.

The following are the countries with the highest death per million population rates; San Marino 1,237 deaths per million; Peru 1,047; Belgium 1,045; Spain; 815; Brazil 756; USA 723 and for comparison Australia 35.

I am always slightly amused at how the anti American media and lefty commentators are quick to point out the infections and deaths in the USA whilst ignoring all the countries with higher death rates such as San Marino, Belgium, Peru etc. 

Tables as below.

Corona Virus Daily Stats – Stage 4 Lockdown – 3rd Step Restrictions – Day 18

Date	Aus Infected	Aus Increase	Vic Infected	Vic Increase	Aus Death	Vic Death	Aus Hospl	Vic Hospital	Aus ICU	Vic ICU
18/10	27,385	7	20,319	2	904	816	18	12	0	0
19/10	27,399	8	20,323	4	905	817	16	12	1	0
20/10	27,405	6	20,320	1	905	817	16	11	1	0
21/10	27,443	14	20,324	3	905	817	17	11	1	0
22/10	27,458	13	20,329	5	905	817	16	9	1	0
23/10	27,476	10	20,330	1	905	817	19	8	0	0
24/10	27,495	12	20,336	7	905	817	19	8	0	0
25/10	27,513	14	20,343	7	905	817	17	7	0	0
26/10	27,525	6	20,342	0	905	817	17	7	0	0
27/10	27,539	12	20,341	0	905	817	15	5	1	0
28/10	27,552	12	20,342	2	907	819	13	3	1	0
29/10	27,562	8	20,345	3	907	819	15	5	1	0
30/10	27,579	11	20,347	4	907	819	19	5	1	0
31/10	27,585	5	20,347	0	907	819	16	2	1	0
01/11	27,595	6	20,346	0	907	819	17	2	1	0
02/11	27,601	7	20,345	0	907	819	17	2	1	0
03/11	27,608	6	20,345	0	907	819	16	2	1	0
04/11	27,620	11	20,345	0	907	819	15	2	1	0
05/11	27,624	2	20,345	0	907	819	20	2	1	0

Country	Population	Infected No	Infected Increase	Deaths No	Deaths Increase No	Deaths per Million Population
Belgium	11,500,000	453,310	106,021	12,126	1,088	1054
UK	68,000,000	1,099,059	156,784	47,742	2,067	702
Spain	47,000,000	1,356,798	162,117	38,118	2,652	811
Italy	60,000,000	790,377	200,611	39,764	1,859	663
Sweden	10,000,000	137,730	19,817	5,997	70	600
France	65,000,000	1,543,321	308,189	38,674	2,889	595
USA	331,000,000	9,796,814	678,300	239,805	6,683	724
Brazil	213,000,000	5,590,941	121,186	161,170	2,702	757
Mexico	129,000,000	938,405	37,137	92,593	2,779	718
South Africa	59,000,000	730,548	10,834	19,585	474	332
Russia	146,000,000	1,693,454	129,478	29,217	2,282	200
World	7,800,000,000	48,408,963	3,669,106	1,230,083	51,556	158
India	1,300,000,000	8,363,412	324,656	124,354	3,791	96
Australia	25,000,000	27,620	66	907	0	36
New Zealand	5,000,000	1,971	28	25	0	5

Corona Virus International Stats as at 05/11/2020

And now the stage 4 lockdown 3rd step restrictions remembers;

Remember: Apparently we can walk into a bar and get a beer; no matter how hard we try sometimes the figures just don't add up; if you are subpoenaed to produce documents to produce all of them!; don't take your eyes off the ball; keep your visitor log book; don't hang around smoking outside a cafe; don't travel to Peru; gamble responsibly; continue to wear your mask responsibly especially at the beach; be careful drinking and gambling, dangerous combination!; don't be a dill and forget to wear your mask on your walk. 

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