Blog Day 186 - Thursday 07 January 2021

Due to various interruptions it has been a few weeks since I had a look at the international figures, so I will try and have a look at them today.

First up lets have a look at what has been happening closer to home in Victoria and nationally.  In the last 24 hours Victoria recorded zero new infections and 3 the day before, there were eight new cases recorded Australia wide in the last 24 hours, 6 of those in NSW, however all of these were returned overseas travellers.  There has also been one locally acquired case reported in Qld, possibly a worker from one of the quarantine hotels.

These results were from nearly 33,000 tests results reported in Victoria in the last 24 hours and over 37,000 test results reported in the day before.  Victoria has tested and reported the results of nearly 103,000 tests in the last three days.  This is a phenomenal result both medically and logistically.  Well done all those concerned.

Currently Victoria has 38 active cases, 13 of which are returned overseas travellers.  NSW has 196 active cases, not including 76 returned overseas travellers.  Nationally there are 298 active cases not including the 76 returned overseas travellers in NSW.

There is some nervousness in both the Federal government and the state governments about the new virulent strain of the virus currently circulating in the UK.  The national cabinet has met to discuss more stringent conditions to be applied to overseas travellers from the UK, including pre flight testing.

Due to my laxness over the last few weeks I have had some trouble extracting the figures to ensure some accuracy in the worldwide weekly figures.  What I have done is extract the total new infections and new deaths for the last three weeks (the weeks I have missed) and averaged these figures to present some sort of weekly figures.  So this weeks figures for new infections and new deaths worldwide is actually an average of the last three weeks figures.  (I promise I won't let this happen again).

Over the last 3 weeks worldwide there has been an average of 4.4 million new infections per week and 79,000 new deaths per week.  The worldwide figures are showing no significant sign of improvement.

The USA recorded a weekly average of 1.5m new infections and 18,500 new deaths for the last 3 weeks. On the week ended 17/12 the US reported 1.55m new infections and 17,700 deaths.  So no great improvement there.  Brazil has reported an average of 277,000 new infections and 5,100 new deaths over the last three weeks, a significant decrease in the number of infections but a small increase in the number of deaths.  Similarly Mexico has reported less infections at 71,000 per week but more deaths at 5,000 per week.  India has reduced its new infections from 192,000 on 17/12 to 147,000 this week and 3,100 deaths to 2,800 deaths.

No really good news in any of these figures but no dramatic increases either.  These four countries account for 45% of the new infections and 37% of the deaths worldwide compared to 40% and 37% on 17/12.

Now for the real bad news, the UK reported an average of 308,000 new infections per week for the last three weeks, up from 136,000 three weeks ago and nearly 3,000 deaths per week for the last 3 weeks.  Given the huge increase in infections I would expect the UK death rate to increase dramatically over the coming weeks.  No wonder they have gone into a significant lockdown again.

Spain has reported an increase in infections from 43,000 per week to 57,000 per week and an increase in deaths from 1,200 per week to 1,500 per week.  Italy and France reported small movements in weekly infections and likewise in weekly deaths.

The four European countries accounted for 13% of the new infections up from 7.5% three weeks ago and 14% of the new deaths down from 15%.

Again have again listed below the top countries by death per million with the figures and place in the table from three weeks ago in brackets.  It would appear that the Balkan countries have jumped a few places and Hungary has crept in at number 13.  (As usual I have excluded the micro countries and included Australia and New Zealand for comparison purposes).

1. Belgium 1,707 (1   1,565) deaths per million of population
2. Slovenia 1,394 (5   1,053)
3. Bosnia 1,288 (4     1,073)
4. Italy 1,272 (3    1,101)
5. North Macedonia 1,234 (6    1,053)
6. Czechia 1,160 (11  922)
7. Bulgaria 1,150 (14   895)
8. Peru 1,144 (2   1,111)
9. UK 1,136 (9   963)
10. Montenegro 1,122 (8   971)
11. USA 1,114 (10   947)
12. Spain 1,100 (7   1,039)
13. Hungary 1,057
14. France 1,019 (13   908)
15. Mexico 1,003 (15  888)
16. Argentina 968 (12   911)
17. Brazil 933 (16  862)

Australia         35

New Zealand 05

 

Corona Virus Daily Stats – Day 07 – New Year 2021 – Covid Normal (as much as possible)

Date	Aus Infected	Aus Increase	Vic Infected	Vic Increase	Aus Death	Vic Death	Aus Hospl	Vic Hospital	Aus ICU	Vic ICU
01/01	28,421	13	20,376	8	909	820	21	0	0	0
02/01	28,441	13	20,388	12	909	820	19	0	0	0
03/01	28,483	14	20,391	3	909	820	26	0	0	0
04/01	28,499	16	20,395	4	909	820	30	0	0	0
05/01	28,518	14	20,399	4	909	820	26	0	0	0
06/01	28,533	10	20,402	3	909	820	36	0	0	0
07/01	28,544	8	20,402	0	909	820	35	0	0	0

Country	Population	Infected No	Infected Increase	Deaths No	Deaths Increase No	Deaths per Million Population
Belgium	11,500,000	652,735	8,313	19,827	1,649	1724
UK	68,000,000	2,836,801	923,524	77,346	11,826	1137
Spain	47,000,000	1,982,544	199,978	51,430	2,834	1094
Italy	60,000,000	2,201,945	313,801	76,877	10,340	1281
Sweden	10,000,000	469,748	121,163	8,985	1,183	899
France	65,000,000	2,705,618	296,556	66,565	7,204	1024
USA	331,000,000	21,857,616	4,497,816	369,990	55,647	1118
Brazil	213,000,000	7,874,539	831,844	199,043	15,221	934
Mexico	129,000,000	1,479,835	212,633	129,987	14,888	1008
South Africa	59,000,000	1,149,591	265,904	30,524	6,697	517
Russia	146,000,000	3,308,601	574,147	59,951	11,387	411
World	7,800,000,000	87,635,503	13,153,712	1,890,786	236,732	242
India	1,300,000,000	10,395,938	441,169	150,372	5,885	116
Australia	25,000,000	28,543	487	909	1	36
New Zealand	5,000,000	2,188	88	25	0	5

Corona Virus International Stats Three Weeks to  07/01/2021